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DTN Midday Grain Comments 09/07 11:59
Beans, Wheat Higher at Midday
Corn printed new highs overnight, but we are hovering around unchanged at
midday even though outside market action is negative.
By David Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
The U.S. stock market indices are lower with the Dow futures down 70. The
interest rate products are higher. The dollar index is up 65. Energies are
lower with crude down $1.30. Cattle and hogs are mostly lower. Precious metals
are higher with gold up $7.
GENERAL COMMENTS
CORN
Corn trade is steady to a penny lower at midday. Trade has been mixed due to
a combo of profit-taking by market longs along with weak crude trade versus
follow-through buying and disappointing early yield reports. The weekly export
inspections were low at 38 million bushels. The chart is still friendly
following the running of buy stops above the $4.50 December level on Friday
morning following the Informa yield comments which were mixed. But the bottom
line there using a higher harvested-acreage number and an expected final yield
around 159 bpa, put them in line with the Linn Group number. Look for December
contract support down at $4.50 and the overnight highs are chart resistance for
now.
SOYBEANS
Soybean trade is better at midday with beans up a nickel, meal up $1 and
bean oil up 50 points. The general buying interest in the soy complex is
positive. The market is starting to act like it will test higher levels above
our recent range this afternoon or this week. The crop ratings are expected o
to be steady for beans and 1 percentage point lower for corn. If ratings are
lower for beans it may help spark a move higher with the trade trying to run at
any buy stops above the $10.50 November contract area. The Informa soybean
yield number on Friday was neutral at 44.1 bushels per acre. The weekly export
inspections were good at 13.9 million bushels.
WHEAT
Wheat trade is 2 to 7 lower at midday in slow trade. The range overnight
into the day session has been just over 20 cents with the majority of the range
in lower territory. The flat to firming tone in the row crops should support
wheat trade the rest of the day. U.S. export demand should continue to produce
buying interest on breaks and keep wheat supported in the lower part of the
recent trading range. The weekly export inspections were good at 22 million
bushels. The trade is looking for mixed trade the remainder of the day.
David Fiala is a DTN contributing analyst and the President of FuturesOne
and a registered Commodity Trading Advisor.
(AG)
Copyright 2010 DTN/The Progressive Farmer, A Telvent Brand. All rights reserved.
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